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24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 32%, $247.4 in 24h volume, and $29.4K in liquidity.
Probability
32%
24h Volume
$247.4
Liquidity
$29.4K
This market is about the first map in a Counter-Strike match between M80 and Legacy at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. Map 1 often matters a lot in CS2 because the opening pick can set the tone for the rest of a best-of series, especially in a high-pressure tournament setting.
The event is the Round 4 match, M80 vs. Legacy, originally scheduled for June 8 at 1:00 PM ET in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The only question for this page is which team wins Map 1: M80 or Legacy. If the map is played to completion, the official winner of that first map determines the outcome; if Map 1 never finishes, or the match is not played at all, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.
There is uncertainty because even when one team is favored overall, a single Counter-Strike map can swing on vetoes, side starts, pistol rounds, and small momentum shifts. M80 and Legacy are both competitive enough that the opening map can be meaningfully different from the eventual match result, which is why this market is more about map-specific performance than the series as a whole.
Price can move if the map veto or official map choice becomes known, because some teams are much stronger on certain maps than others. Late roster or lineup changes, server or schedule delays, and any official result information from the match can also shift expectations quickly. Because the market is settled on Map 1 only, any news that affects who is likely to start fast, who chose the opening map, or whether the map was completed matters more than the overall series story.
The current market price implies roughly a 32% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to verify are whether the match actually begins, whether Map 1 reaches a completed result, and which official result HLTV publishes for the game. The rules say HLTV is the primary source, with credible reporting or video evidence only used if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Readers should also note the fallback rules: an unfinished map, a canceled match, or a delay beyond seven days without play all resolve 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 32%, $247.4 in 24h volume, and $29.4K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
M80
31.5%
Legacy
68.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between M80 and Legacy in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win Map 1 against Legacy. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against M80. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 32%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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