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Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $6.7 in 24h volume, and $2.1K in liquidity.
Probability
49%
24h Volume
$6.7
Liquidity
$2.1K
This market is about the Map 3 round handicap in a Counter-Strike match between Legacy and M80 at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the match overall, but whether Legacy can finish Map 3 ahead by 4 or more rounds, which is a much narrower and more specific outcome. Because the market depends on a single map’s final round score, overtime, vetoes, and late match developments can matter a lot.
The title points to Map 3 of Legacy vs. M80, scheduled for June 8 at 1:00 PM ET, in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The rule is simple: if Legacy’s Map 3 round total exceeds M80’s by 4 or more, the market resolves to Legacy; otherwise it resolves to M80. It does not matter who wins the map or the match overall, only the final round margin on Map 3.
This market exists because esports maps are often close enough that a four-round handicap can swing either way, especially in a tournament setting where map pools, momentum, and veto order all matter. Legacy and M80 are both named directly in the title, so the market is really pricing whether the map will be lopsided enough for Legacy to clear the handicap or close enough for M80 to cover it. The uncertainty is heightened by the fact that only one map score, not the match series result, decides the outcome.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 3 specifically can move this market, including the series reaching a third map at all, the map veto, and whether the chosen map favors one team’s style. Lineup or role changes, tactical adaptations between maps, and signs of one team building a large lead early can all matter because the handicap depends on round margin rather than just the winner. If the match format, map order, or any map-specific official information changes, that would also affect how traders interpret the likely final score.
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24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 49% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this resolves, check that Map 3 is actually played to completion and that the final round score is recorded in official results on HLTV, which the rules name as the primary source. If the map is never played, is cut short, or ends by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default instead of completed rounds, the market resolves 50-50 rather than to either side. The deadline also matters: if the match is canceled or delayed more than 7 days past the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, the same 50-50 fallback applies.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $6.7 in 24h volume, and $2.1K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Legacy
49%
M80
51%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Legacy and M80 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Legacy's round total on Map 3 exceeds M80's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "M80". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 49%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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