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Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $144 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$144
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
52%
Change
+20%
High
52%
Low
32%
Monte moved from 32% to 52% over the last month, trading between 32% and 52%.
Monte price history from Polymarket CLOB.
3 points
This market is about the first map in the Counter-Strike match between BetBoom Team and Monte at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the match, but whether BetBoom Team can win Map 1 by at least four rounds, which makes the round handicap cover.
The title refers to a Map 1 rounds handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5). In plain English, BetBoom Team must finish Map 1 with a round count at least four higher than Monte for the market to resolve to BetBoom Team; any smaller margin, or a Monte win, resolves to Monte. The market description says the match was initially scheduled for June 8 at 10:30AM ET, and the official resolution source is HLTV, with the result based only on Map 1's completed round score.
There is uncertainty because a Counter-Strike map can swing on vetoes, side selection, pistol rounds, overtime, and momentum, and a handicap line asks a narrower question than a straight match winner bet. IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 matters because it is a high-stakes tournament stage where map-specific performance, preparation, and roster form can change how lopsided one map looks. The market is effectively pricing how likely BetBoom Team is to win Map 1 by a clear margin rather than merely edging it or losing close.
Anything that changes the expected Map 1 gap can move this market: the official map veto, confirmed map pool, and any roster or substitute changes before play. Because the result is locked to Map 1 only, a strong CT-side start, pistol-round swings, or an overtime-heavy map can change whether the -3.5 line cashes even if BetBoom Team wins the overall series. Delays, forfeits, or a map that is not completed to a full round score would also matter because the rules say the market can resolve 50-50 in those cases.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify that Map 1 is actually played to completion and that the final round score is posted by HLTV, since that official result controls settlement. The most important ambiguity to watch for is whether the map ends in a normal final score, overtime, or some non-played outcome such as a forfeit or walkover, because those cases are treated differently from a completed map. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond seven days without Map 1 being completed, the market resolves 50-50, so the completion status is as important as the score itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $144 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
BetBoom Team
100%
Monte
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between BetBoom Team and Monte in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 10:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. BetBoom Team's round total on Map 1 exceeds Monte's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Monte". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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