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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
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Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $200.5K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$200.5K
Liquidity
$0
This market is about the opening map of a Counter-Strike match between NRG and BIG at IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, a matchup where the first map can matter a lot because teams often set the tone for the rest of the series there. The page is tied to a scheduled Round 5 match on June 5, with resolution based on which team wins Map 1, not the full match result.
The event question is simple: who wins Map 1 in NRG vs BIG? NRG is the North American organization, while BIG is the German organization, and both are familiar names in top-tier Counter-Strike competition. The market uses official match information from HLTV for resolution, and if Map 1 is completed after the match starts, that completed map decides the outcome even if the series itself is not finished.
Map 1 can be harder to handicap than the series winner because it depends on the veto, the starting side, and how prepared each team is for the specific opening map. In Counter-Strike, a team can look stronger overall but still lose the first map if the map pool, recent roster form, or pistol-round execution favors the opponent. That is the uncertainty this market is capturing for NRG and BIG specifically, rather than for the entire match.
Anything that clarifies the map veto can move this market, because the opening map choice is often the biggest clue about who has the edge. Official lineup announcements, late roster substitutions, match delays, or signs that one team is comfortable on a particular map can all shift expectations before play starts. Once Map 1 begins, early rounds, economy control, and whether the map looks one-sided or close will matter much more than broader tournament narratives.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
0%
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is whether Map 1 actually starts and finishes, because the rules treat incomplete maps and abandoned matches as a 50-50 result. Readers should check the official HLTV match page for the final Map 1 score and any notes about cancellations, postponements, or technical issues. If the match is delayed for more than seven days without starting, or if the map is never completed, the market does not resolve to either team and instead settles 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $200.5K in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
NRG
0%
BIG
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 5, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between NRG and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 1 against BIG. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win Map 1 against NRG. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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