
0%
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market is about the Map 2 round margin in the Counter-Strike match between BIG and NRG at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1. Because the contract only cares about the second map’s final round score, it can resolve one way even if the overall match result goes the other way.
The question here is simple: on Map 2 of BIG vs. NRG, will BIG win by 4 rounds or more, or will NRG avoid that margin? The market is tied to the scheduled June 5 match at 1:00 PM ET and uses the final Map 2 score only; a BIG win by at least four rounds resolves to BIG, while anything else resolves to NRG. If Map 2 is not completed by rounds played, or the match ends by forfeit, default, cancellation, or a long delay without a completed Map 2, the rules say the market resolves 50-50 instead of to either side.
A handicap market like this is narrower than a standard match-winner bet because it focuses on how close one map is, not just who wins the series. That creates uncertainty around map vetoes, side balance, and whether BIG can create or prevent a small margin on Map 2, which is especially relevant in a tournament setting where map order and preparation matter. The contract is also sensitive to the event rules, since official completion of Map 2 matters more here than the final series score.
The biggest price movers are anything that changes expectations for Map 2 specifically: the map veto, the actual Map 2 selection, and any signs that one roster is much stronger on that map. In Counter-Strike, roster changes, stand-ins, and late lineup news can matter a lot because they affect coordination and map comfort. Patch or meta shifts can also matter, but only insofar as they change how BIG or NRG tend to perform on the likely Map 2 pick, and the market will react sharply once the map is underway and round differential starts to develop.
Related markets

0%
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Read the resolution rules closely: this market depends on rounds actually played on Map 2, not on who wins the series or how the rest of the match ends. The official source is HLTV, so the key things to verify are the completed Map 2 score, whether the map went to overtime, and whether the map was finished normally rather than by forfeit, default, or walkover. The end date shown on the page is June 5, 2026 at 23:10 UTC, but the practical cutoff is whether Map 2 is completed within the event window or within the seven-day delay rule spelled out in the contract.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
BIG
0%
NRG
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 5, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between BIG and NRG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. BIG's round total on Map 2 exceeds NRG's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NRG". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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