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Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market tracks the round margin on Map 3 of BIG vs NRG at IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, not the match winner. Because the settlement depends on a single map’s final round score, it can move differently from the overall series even if one team is ahead in the match.
The question is whether BIG will beat NRG by 4 or more rounds on Map 3, which would settle the market to BIG; any smaller margin, including an NRG win or a BIG win by exactly 3 rounds, resolves to NRG. The match is listed for June 5 at 1:00 PM ET, and the map must be played to a completed round score for this market to resolve normally. If Map 3 is not completed on rounds played, or if the match is decided by forfeit, walkover, default, cancellation, or a long delay past the rules window, the market resolves 50-50 instead.
Map-handicap markets like this are about the shape of the map, not just who advances or wins the series. In Counter-Strike, a 3.5-round line on a single map asks whether one side can create a clear gap across enough rounds to cover the margin, which is why a close map and a blowout land very differently here. That gives traders a separate view of match competitiveness, especially in a tournament setting like IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 where lineup strength and map choice matter.
Anything that changes expectations for the Map 3 score can move this market: the series reaching a deciding map at all, the map veto, and whether one roster looks stronger on the selected battleground. In CS2, a team’s comfort on specific maps, mid-event roster changes, and form on the day can all affect whether the final round margin is likely to be tight or wide. Because the outcome is based only on Map 3 rounds actually played, late technical issues, forfeits, or a shortened result would matter as much as the in-game score.
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24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the official HLTV match page for the final Map 3 score, since the market rules point to HLTV as the source of truth unless final results are missing for too long. The important detail is whether Map 3 is completed to a round result, because a forfeit, default, or unfinished map changes the settlement entirely. It is also worth confirming that the scheduled date has not slipped beyond the 7-day rule window, since that creates a separate 50-50 resolution path.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 100%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
BIG
100%
NRG
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 5, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between BIG and NRG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. BIG's round total on Map 3 exceeds NRG's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NRG". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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