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Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-15.5) vs BIG (+15.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $70 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$70
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether NRG can beat BIG by 16 or more rounds on Map 3 of their Counter-Strike match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 1. Because the payout depends only on the Map 3 round margin, it is a narrow scoreline question rather than a simple match-winner call.
The page tracks the map handicap line for NRG (-15.5) vs BIG (+15.5) in an IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 match initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:10 PM ET. The key detail is that only Map 3 matters: if NRG’s round total on Map 3 exceeds BIG’s by 16 or more, the market resolves to NRG; otherwise it resolves to BIG. That means a one-round difference in the final Map 3 score can flip the outcome, even if either team wins the map or the overall series.
Handicap markets like this are built around whether one team can dominate by a specific margin, and in Counter-Strike that margin is hard to predict because map pools, side switches, and momentum swings can all change the round count quickly. BIG and NRG are familiar names in international CS, but the relevant uncertainty here is not just who advances — it is whether Map 3 becomes a close tactical map or a lopsided result. The 15.5-round line reflects a very large gap, so the market is really pricing a blowout versus a competitive map.
The biggest price movers are the match format and any sign that a third map will actually be played, since this market only settles on Map 3 rounds. Before Map 3 starts, roster changes, veto outcomes, and the selected map itself can matter a lot because some maps tend to produce more one-sided scorelines than others. During the map, early pistol rounds, economy control, and half-time margins are especially important: a big lead by either side can make a 16-round handicap more or less realistic very quickly.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify that Map 3 is completed to a final round score, because the rules say a forfeit, default, walkover, cancellation, or an unfinished Map 3 leads to a 50-50 result. The official source of truth is HLTV, with a fallback to credible reports only if HLTV has not posted final results within two hours after the event concludes. It is also worth checking that the match was not delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, since that also forces a 50-50 resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-15.5) vs BIG (+15.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $70 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
NRG
0%
BIG
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 5, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between NRG and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:10PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG wins Map 3 by 16 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. NRG's round total on Map 3 exceeds BIG's by 16 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BIG". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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