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Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market is about the third map in the NRG vs BIG Counter-Strike match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 1. Because it is a map-by-map handicap line, the key question is not who wins the match, but whether NRG can win Map 3 by four rounds or more.
The event title names NRG and BIG, two esports teams competing in Counter-Strike, and the market is tied specifically to Map 3 of their match in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1. The line is NRG (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5), which means NRG must finish Map 3 ahead by at least four rounds for the market to resolve to NRG; any smaller margin, including a BIG win, resolves to BIG. The description says the match was initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:10 PM ET, and resolution depends only on the official final round score on Map 3.
A three-map Counter-Strike series can look very different from a straight match winner market, because one map can be close even when the overall result is lopsided. This market captures the uncertainty around Map 3 specifically: whether NRG can create enough round separation to clear a 3.5-round handicap, or whether BIG can keep the map tight enough to cover. The IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 context matters because official tournament play, map pool choices, and series pressure can all affect how wide or narrow a deciding map becomes.
The biggest price movers are roster and map-order details, because a third map often reflects how the first two maps played out and which side each team looks stronger on. If the series reaches Map 3 with a veto that favors one team’s comfort pick, that can change expectations for round margin even if the match winner market looks similar. Any official change to the match schedule, a map not being played to completion, or a result being decided by forfeit/default would matter even more here, since the market rules treat those outcomes differently from a finished map.
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24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this resolves, readers should check that Map 3 is actually played to completion and that the final round score is reported by the official source listed in the rules, HLTV. The market does not care who wins the map or the match overall; it only cares about the final round difference on Map 3. The main ambiguity to watch for is whether the map ends normally, or instead is affected by cancellation, delay beyond seven days, or a non-playing resolution such as forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default, which would send the market to 50-50 under the stated rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
NRG
0%
BIG
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 5, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between NRG and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:10PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. NRG's round total on Map 3 exceeds BIG's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BIG". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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