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Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs BIG (+9.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $70 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$70
Liquidity
$0
This market is about the third map in an IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Counter-Strike match between NRG and BIG. The key question is not who wins the match, but whether NRG can win Map 3 by at least 10 rounds, which would clear the handicap.
The title, “Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs BIG (+9.5),” means the outcome depends only on the final round difference on Map 3. If NRG finishes Map 3 with a margin of 10 rounds or more, the market resolves to NRG; otherwise it resolves to BIG. The description says the match was initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:10 PM ET, and the official resolution source is HLTV. If Map 3 is not played to completion, is decided by default or forfeit, or the match is delayed too long without Map 3 finishing, the market resolves 50-50 instead.
This is a narrow esports line because a map can be competitive even when the overall match result is one-sided, and round margins matter more than the winner alone. NRG and BIG are established Counter-Strike names, so traders are weighing whether the matchup will be close enough on Map 3 to stay within the handicap or whether one side can run away with it. The presence of a large bid-ask gap and modest volume suggests there is still uncertainty around how the map will actually play out.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 3 specifically can move this market, especially the earlier maps, veto sequence, and any signs of a lopsided veto favoring one team’s comfort picks. Because the market is tied to a round handicap rather than the match winner, a dominant map performance, overtime, or a very tight finish on Map 3 would matter more here than in a standard moneyline market. If the series structure, start time, or completion status changes, that also affects resolution because the rules depend on a completed Map 3.
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24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, readers should check whether Map 3 was actually played to a full final round score and whether HLTV posts the official result. The resolution rules are very specific: a normal completed Map 3 settles the market by round differential, but a forfeit, default, cancellation, walkover, or long delay without completion can trigger a 50-50 outcome instead. It is also worth confirming that the final score comes from Map 3 only, since the overall match winner does not matter for this line.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-9.5) vs BIG (+9.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $70 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
NRG
0%
BIG
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 5, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between NRG and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:10PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG wins Map 3 by 10 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. NRG's round total on Map 3 exceeds BIG's by 10 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BIG". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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