
0%
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $120 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$120
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
-0.5%
High
59.5%
Low
50%
Over moved from 50.5% to 50% over the full available history, trading between 50% and 59.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market asks a very specific question about the Counter-Strike match between NRG and BIG at IEM Cologne Major Stage 1: how many rounds will be played on Map 3. Because it depends on the exact final round count on a single map, it is more about map length than about which team wins the match overall.
The title, "Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5," refers only to the third map of NRG vs. BIG, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:00 PM ET. The market resolves to Over if Map 3 goes past 20 total rounds, counting overtime, and to Under if the map ends with 20 or fewer rounds; an exact 20.5 is handled as 50-50 under the market rules. If Map 3 is not played to completion, or if the match is decided by forfeit, walkover, default, or cancellation, that is also a 50-50 resolution case.
Round totals in Counter-Strike are shaped by map vetoes, team form, side balance, and whether a map stays close enough to reach overtime. NRG and BIG are the named teams here, and the market is really pricing whether their third map becomes a short win or a tighter contest that runs long. The current order flow is heavily tilted toward Over, which suggests traders expect a competitive map or overtime more than a quick 13-0 to 13-7 style finish.
The biggest price movers are anything that changes the chance of a long third map: roster substitutions, a lopsided veto, or a map choice that strongly favors one side. If the earlier maps in the series are one-sided, that can affect expectations for whether Map 3 is even reached, while a close series usually keeps attention on how grindy the decider might be. A late start, official format change, or any update affecting whether the map is played to completion can matter more here than the match winner itself.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

0%
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the official result source for the match and the final Map 3 score, because this market depends on rounds actually played, not on a projection or highlight summary. Readers should also check whether Map 3 was completed normally, since forfeits, defaults, walkovers, cancellations, or delays beyond seven days all trigger a 50-50 outcome under the rules. The end date and resolution window matter here because a delayed or incomplete decider changes the outcome even if the series itself has a clear winner.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $120 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 5, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between NRG and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 20.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 20.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 20.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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