
0%
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.2M in 24h volume, and $949.6K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$2.2M
Liquidity
$949.6K
This market is about the Round 5 Counter-Strike best-of-three between NRG and BIG at IEM Cologne Major Stage 1. It matters because Stage 1 matches can decide who stays alive in the event and who gets pushed out, so a single BO3 can carry a lot of weight for both teams.
The question is simple: which team wins the NRG vs BIG match, with the winner resolving the market to that team. The matchup is listed as a Round 5 game in IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:00 PM ET, and the market uses HLTV as the main result source. Because this is a best-of-three, the result depends on who wins the series overall, not on a single map.
There is uncertainty here because Counter-Strike series can swing on vetoes, map strength, roster form, and in-game momentum, especially in a short BO3. BIG is priced as the stronger side in the market, but NRG still has a clear path if the map pool or match dynamics break their way. That disagreement is what the market is capturing: whether BIG’s edge is large enough to hold through a full series.
Any confirmed roster change, illness, or last-minute substitution would matter quickly because team strength in Counter-Strike can shift sharply when a lineup changes. Map veto information is also important in a BO3, since some teams look much stronger on specific maps and a favorable veto can move expectations before the first round is played. If the match is delayed, rescheduled, or affected by a forfeit, that can also change how the market should be interpreted under its resolution rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

0%
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore this market resolves, readers should check whether the match is actually played, completed, and reported on HLTV, since that is the stated source of truth. The rules also matter: if the match is canceled, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than seven days from the scheduled date without a result, the market goes to 50-50; if it begins and one team later wins by forfeit or disqualification, that team resolves as the winner. The main ambiguity to watch for is whether the official result is published cleanly on HLTV or whether an unusual match-ending scenario forces the fallback rules to be used.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.2M in 24h volume, and $949.6K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
NRG
0.1%
BIG
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 5, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between NRG and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win the match against BIG. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against NRG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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