
0%
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+31.5%
High
100%
Low
68.5%
Team Falcons moved from 68.5% to 100% over the last month, trading between 68.5% and 100%.
Team Falcons price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market tracks a Dota 2 lower-bracket quarterfinal between Aurora and Team Falcons in the BLAST Slam Playoffs. The handicap is set at Aurora -1.5 games, so the key question is not just who wins, but whether Aurora can win by at least two games in the match.
The title uses “AUR” for Aurora and pits them against Team Falcons in a playoff elimination match scheduled for June 5 at 12:00 PM ET. Because this is a lower-bracket quarterfinal, the loser’s path in the tournament is at stake, which makes the series format especially important: Aurora must outperform Falcons by a wide enough margin to cover the -1.5 handicap. Under the rules, the market resolves to Aurora only if Aurora wins by 2 or more games; otherwise it resolves to Team Falcons.
The uncertainty here is about the match result under a game handicap, not simply the series winner. In Dota 2, a team can be competitive in a series yet still fail to cover a margin like -1.5, so the market is really pricing how decisive the result will be. The live market is strongly tilted toward Team Falcons, which suggests traders see the handicap as difficult for Aurora to clear.
Anything that changes the expected shape of the series can move this market: roster substitutions, last-minute lineup issues, draft priorities, or a patch/meta that favors one team’s style. Because this is a playoff match, map control, early-game tempo, and whether the series looks likely to end 2-0 or go the distance are the practical signals that matter most. If the match format or opponent preparation changes before start time, that can also affect how likely Aurora is to cover the handicap.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

0%
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify the official match result and series score, since the handicap depends on the game differential rather than just the winner. The market rules also matter: forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers count only if the match is completed, while a canceled match, an unplayed tie, or a delay beyond seven days without a winner resolves to 50-50. The stated resolution source is Dotabuff, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted there within two hours after the event ends, so the final scoreline and completion status are the key things to check.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5K in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Aurora
0%
Team Falcons
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 5, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Team Falcons and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora wins 2 or more games than Team Falcons in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Falcons". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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