
-3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$136.9K
Liquidity
$55K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $329.8K in 24h volume, and $56.8K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$329.8K
Liquidity
$56.8K
This market asks a very specific question about Elon Musk’s posting volume on X over a fixed two-day window in early June 2026. Because Musk is one of the platform’s most closely watched and high-frequency public posters, even a narrow count range can attract attention from people tracking his online activity. The market is worth watching because the resolution depends on a precise tally, not just whether he was active or inactive.
The title asks whether Elon Musk (@elonmusk) will post between 90 and 114 times on X from June 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through June 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. The count includes main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, but not replies, except for replies that appear on the main feed and are captured by the tracker. The market resolves using the Post Counter on xtracker.polymarket.com, with X itself as a backup source if the tracker is not working as intended.
This market focuses on a narrow slice of Musk’s public posting behavior, which can vary a lot from day to day. A range like 90 to 114 posts is high enough to suggest sustained activity, but still uncertain enough that small changes in posting habits could flip the outcome. People following this market are effectively weighing whether his activity in that window lands inside that band or falls short or runs above it.
The biggest factor is simple posting volume during the exact time window, especially whether Musk is active in bursts that add up quickly through reposts or quote posts. Changes in the live tracker, a visible surge in main-feed activity, or an apparent slowdown as the deadline approaches would all matter. Because deleted posts can still count if the tracker captures them in time, the final number can also be affected by posts that appear briefly and are later removed.
Related markets

-3%
24h Vol
$136.9K
Liquidity
$55K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the time window carefully, since the market closes and resolves based on June 4 at 12:00 PM ET through June 6 at 12:00 PM ET, not a calendar day total. The key source of truth is the Post Counter on xtracker.polymarket.com, and the rules make clear that main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count while ordinary replies do not. If the tracker appears inconsistent, the market rules say X itself may be used as a secondary source, so the main thing to verify is how each post is being counted and whether any posts were captured before deletion.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $329.8K in 24h volume, and $56.8K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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