crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$330.8K
Liquidity
$105K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Probability
98%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.9K
This market asks a simple but very specific question: will Ethereum’s Binance ETH/USDT price finish above $1,100 on June 12, using the 12:00 p.m. ET one-minute candle? Because the outcome is tied to one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact timestamp, the answer can differ from prices seen elsewhere on the same day. The market is therefore less about Ethereum in general and more about a precise Binance price print at noon Eastern time.
The title refers to Ethereum, the native asset of the Ethereum network, and sets a price threshold of $1,100 for June 12, 2026. According to the rules, the market resolves Yes if the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle for 12:00 ET on that date has a final Close above $1,100; otherwise it resolves No. The relevant source of truth is Binance’s ETH/USDT chart with 1m candles, not other exchanges, spot indexes, or derivative prices.
This market exists because short-horizon crypto prices can vary quickly and do not always line up across venues. Traders may disagree about whether ETH will be above a round-number level like $1,100 at that exact minute, especially with the result depending on a single candle rather than an all-day average. The live book shows a strong tilt toward Yes, but the spread and the exact Binance-only rule leave room for last-minute uncertainty.
Any move in ETH/USDT around the noon ET window can change the outcome, especially if price is hovering near the $1,100 line. A sharp market-wide crypto move, a sudden Binance-specific price swing, or a brief wick that affects the candle’s Close can matter more here than the broader daily trend. Because the market uses one-minute candle data, even a short-lived burst of volatility right before 12:00 ET can be decisive.
The current market price implies roughly a 98% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4.9%
24h Vol
$330.8K
Liquidity
$105K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the exact resolution rule: the final Close of Binance’s ETH/USDT 1m candle at 12:00 ET on June 12, 2026, not a daily close and not a price from another exchange. Readers should check the Binance chart setting, the timezone, and the candle timestamp carefully, since confusion over the hour or the source pair could change how the result is read. If Binance’s displayed candle data is ambiguous or updated after the fact, the market description says the exchange’s ETH/USDT candle page is the source to use.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
98.2%
No
1.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 98%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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