crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$330.8K
Liquidity
$105K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $5.2K in 24h volume, and $14K in liquidity.
Probability
97%
24h Volume
$5.2K
Liquidity
$14K
This market asks a very specific price question about Ethereum: will ETH/USDT on Binance finish above $1,200 in the 12:00 p.m. ET one-minute candle on June 12. Because the resolution uses a single minute of Binance data, the final answer depends on that exact timestamp rather than on ETH’s broader day-long trading range. That makes it a narrow checkpoint on Ethereum’s price action at a fixed moment, not a general forecast for the month.
The title refers to Ethereum, the native asset of the Ethereum network, and the threshold is $1,200. The market resolves from Binance’s ETH/USDT 1-minute candlestick data at 12:00 ET on the date in the title, with the candle’s final Close price determining the outcome. If that Close is strictly higher than $1,200, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
This market exists because even large, widely traded crypto assets can move enough near a specific timestamp to leave a question open. Readers may care because it captures whether ETH can hold or clear a round-number level at a precise midday snapshot, and that level can matter for short-term sentiment, technical trading, or benchmark-based discussion. The main uncertainty is not whether Ethereum is a major asset, but whether Binance’s exact minute-end price will end up above the threshold.
Any sharp move in ETH/USDT close to noon ET can change the outcome, especially if price is hovering near $1,200. Large spot or derivatives activity, sudden volatility in the broader crypto market, or a fast move in Bitcoin and major altcoins could all spill into ETH within that one-minute window. Since the rule keys off Binance specifically, differences between Binance and other exchanges matter only if they affect Binance’s own ETH/USDT candle at that exact time.
The current market price implies roughly a 97% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4.9%
24h Vol
$330.8K
Liquidity
$105K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketThe key details to verify are the date, the noon ET timestamp, and the source: Binance ETH/USDT with the 1-minute candle view and the candle’s Close price. The market does not use an average, a high, or a price from another exchange, so a reader should pay attention to the exact candle close at 12:00 ET on June 12. The main ambiguity risk is mistaking the general ETH price for the specific Binance candle used in the rules, so the source-of-truth matters more than headlines or other market data.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $5.2K in 24h volume, and $14K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
96.6%
No
3.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 97%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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