crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
63%
+9.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$291.8K
Liquidity
$30.1K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 94%, $10.2K in 24h volume, and $16.9K in liquidity.
Probability
94%
24h Volume
$10.2K
Liquidity
$16.9K
This market asks a very specific question about Ethereum’s price at a single moment on June 12: will the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle ending at noon Eastern Time close above $1,300? Because the outcome depends on one exchange, one trading pair, and one timestamp, the exact reference point matters as much as the headline price level.
The market resolves from Binance’s ETH/USDT chart using the 1-minute candles, with the noon ET candle on the date in the title as the deciding bar. If that candle’s final Close is above $1,300, the market resolves Yes; if it is at or below $1,300, it resolves No. The end date shown on the market page is June 12, 2026, and readers should note that this is not a general Ethereum price question across all exchanges or time zones.
Ethereum is one of the most watched crypto assets, so even a narrow threshold like $1,300 can attract interest from traders who care about short-term momentum, volatility, and where price is trading around a round-number level. The uncertainty here is not about Ethereum’s long-term network story, but about whether Binance’s ETH/USDT price at one specific minute will finish above the cutoff. That creates a dispute over a precise market snapshot rather than a broad view of the asset.
The price can move quickly around the noon ET window if ETH/USDT is already hovering near $1,300, since even a brief push higher or lower can change the candle close. News about Ethereum, broader crypto market swings, or sharp moves in Bitcoin and other major assets can all affect whether Binance prints a close above the line. Because the market keys off a 1-minute candle, the final seconds of that minute are especially important if price is near the threshold.
The current market price implies roughly a 94% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+9.6%
24h Vol
$291.8K
Liquidity
$30.1K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketBefore this market resolves, the key thing to verify is the source and timestamp: Binance ETH/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the noon ET candle on the specified date. The market rule says the Binance Close price is what counts, not spot quotes from other exchanges, not another trading pair, and not a daily average. If the page’s title, timezone, or Binance chart settings are unclear, those are the details to check first, since small interpretation errors could change the outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 94%, $10.2K in 24h volume, and $16.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
94.3%
No
5.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 94%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
-4.6%
24h Vol
$321.5K
Liquidity
$108.6K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View market+3%
24h Vol
$84.3K
Liquidity
$85K
Spread
1%
1/1/2027
View market
+23.5%
24h Vol
$75.4K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
2%
7/1/2026
View market+32%
24h Vol
$348.4K
Liquidity
$23.9K
Spread
1%
6/6/2026
View market+2.9%
24h Vol
$107.9K
Liquidity
$12.1K
Spread
4%
6/8/2026
View market