crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$330.8K
Liquidity
$105K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 73%, $17.6 in 24h volume, and $4.7K in liquidity.
Probability
73%
24h Volume
$17.6
Liquidity
$4.7K
This market asks a very specific price question about Ethereum: will Binance show ETH/USDT trading above $1,500 on June 12 at the noon ET one-minute candle close. Because the cutoff is tied to a single exchange, a single trading pair, and a single minute, the outcome depends on that exact source rather than on ETH’s broader market price across venues.
The title refers to Ethereum, the second-largest crypto asset by market attention, and the date June 12, with resolution set for 12:00 ET on that day. The market resolves "Yes" only if the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle with a 12:00 ET timestamp has a final Close above $1,500; otherwise it resolves "No." The page’s rules make Binance the sole source of truth, and they specify that the relevant data is the Close price on the ETH/USDT candles view.
A threshold market like this matters because ETH can trade near a round number and still end up either side of it at one exact minute. Traders may disagree about whether demand, volatility, or a broader crypto move will keep Ethereum above the line at that precise moment. The uncertainty is not about Ethereum’s existence or long-term value; it is about a narrowly defined Binance price print on a specific date and time.
The main price mover is ETH/USDT spot trading on Binance in the hours and minutes before noon ET on June 12. A sharp move in Ethereum, a broad crypto rally or selloff, or a sudden exchange-specific jump in volume could push the 1-minute close above or below $1,500. Because the rule uses a single candle close, even brief volatility around the cutoff minute can matter more than the wider daily trend.
The current market price implies roughly a 73% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4.9%
24h Vol
$330.8K
Liquidity
$105K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact resolution rule: Binance ETH/USDT, 1-minute candles, 12:00 ET, and the Close price only. The key ambiguity to watch is that the market does not use other exchanges, other ETH pairs, or an average price, so the outcome can differ from what larger market trackers show elsewhere. The deadline shown on the page is June 12 at 16:00:00Z, which corresponds to noon ET, and that timestamp should be the reference point when verifying the candle.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 73%, $17.6 in 24h volume, and $4.7K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
73%
No
27%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 73%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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