crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
56%
+16.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 87%, $3.4K in 24h volume, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Probability
87%
24h Volume
$3.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
This market asks a very specific Ethereum price question: will ETH/USDT on Binance close above $1,500 at the 12:00 p.m. ET one-minute candle on June 7, 2026? Because the outcome is tied to a single candle on one exchange, even a small move around the threshold can determine the result.
The title refers to Ethereum, the native asset of the Ethereum network, and the $1,500 level as measured on Binance’s ETH/USDT market. Resolution depends on the final “Close” price of the 1-minute candle at exactly 12:00 ET on the date in the title, not on the daily close, a different exchange, or a different trading pair. The market ends on June 7, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, which corresponds to the resolution timing stated in the rules.
Traders are pricing whether ETH can hold above a round-number level at a precise moment on a major exchange. The uncertainty is not about Ethereum’s long-term network outlook, but about a short-term price snapshot that can be influenced by intraday volatility, liquidity, and exchange-specific pricing. Because the rule uses Binance ETH/USDT specifically, disagreement often comes from whether the price will be comfortably above the threshold or hovering near it at the exact candle close.
The market can move on any sharp ETH price swing before June 7, especially if Binance ETH/USDT trades near $1,500 as the deadline approaches. Large spot or derivatives flows, broad crypto risk sentiment, and exchange-specific liquidity conditions can all matter because the result is determined by a single one-minute candle. If ETH breaks decisively above or below the level in the final hours, that can quickly reprice expectations.
The current market price implies roughly a 87% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+16.5%
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe key item to verify is the source of truth: Binance ETH/USDT with the 1-minute candles view, using the 12:00 ET candle on June 7, 2026. Readers should check the exact candle close shown on Binance, since the market does not use other exchanges, other timestamps, or an averaged price. The main ambiguity risk is confusing the date or time zone, so it is worth confirming that “12:00 in the ET timezone” is the noon candle on the specified date and that the final close is the value used for settlement.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 87%, $3.4K in 24h volume, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
86.8%
No
13.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 87%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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