crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$335K
Liquidity
$107.6K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 44%, $394 in 24h volume, and $5.3K in liquidity.
Probability
44%
24h Volume
$394
Liquidity
$5.3K
This market asks a very specific price question about Ethereum: whether ETH/USDT on Binance will close above $1,600 on June 12, 2026 at noon Eastern Time. Because the outcome is tied to one exchange’s one-minute candle, the result can differ from headline prices on other platforms or at other times of day.
The event is not simply “where Ethereum trades on June 12,” but whether the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET has a final Close price higher than $1,600. The resolution source is explicitly Binance’s ETH/USDT chart with the 1m interval selected, so that single candle close is the deciding datapoint. If Binance’s recorded close is above the threshold, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
Ethereum is one of the most actively traded crypto assets, so even a narrow hourly or minute-level threshold can draw disagreement. Traders may interpret the market as a read on whether ETH can hold or clear a round-number level by a fixed deadline, while others may expect short-term volatility to push it below the line. The uncertainty here comes from both the price level itself and the exact choice of source, timestamp, and trading pair.
Anything that materially changes ETH’s short-term trading around the June 12 noon ET candle can move this market, especially sharp swings in the hours before the cutoff. Because the resolution uses Binance ETH/USDT specifically, price action on that exchange matters more than prices shown elsewhere, and a brief spike or dip near $1,600 could be decisive. Liquidity around the threshold, sudden market-wide crypto moves, and exchange-specific trading conditions can all affect where that one-minute close lands.
The current market price implies roughly a 44% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4.9%
24h Vol
$335K
Liquidity
$107.6K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, readers should check the exact deadline, the timezone, and the source rule: Binance ETH/USDT with 1-minute candles and the Close price for 12:00 ET on June 12. The key ambiguity to avoid is substituting another exchange, another pair, or a different candle timeframe, since none of those control the outcome. If the Binance chart format changes or the timestamp appears confusing, the market description’s resolution instructions are the source of truth.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 44%, $394 in 24h volume, and $5.3K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 44%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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