crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
56%
+16.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 18%, $6.8K in 24h volume, and $14.5K in liquidity.
Probability
18%
24h Volume
$6.8K
Liquidity
$14.5K
Current
17.6%
Change
-79.7%
High
98.1%
Low
13.8%
Yes moved from 97.3% to 17.6% over the full available history, trading between 13.8% and 98.1%.
Yes price history from Polymarket CLOB.
18 points
This market asks whether Ethereum’s Binance ETH/USDT price will finish above $1,700 on June 8. Because the contract uses a specific one-minute candle at noon ET on that date, the key question is not Ethereum’s broader trend, but whether the Binance spot price is above the threshold at that exact moment.
The outcome is tied to ETH/USDT on Binance, using the 1-minute candle whose timestamp is 12:00 ET on June 8, 2026. If that candle’s final Close is higher than $1,700, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No. The market does not use Ethereum prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or daily highs and lows, so the exact Binance quote at that minute is what matters.
A round-number price level like $1,700 is easy to watch, but the result can still hinge on a narrow slice of trading activity at a single minute. That creates uncertainty because small moves, brief volatility, or a quick reversal around noon ET can change the answer even if the broader market looks stable. Readers may care because the market is effectively testing whether ETH can hold above a visible threshold at a fixed time, under one specific exchange’s pricing rules.
The most important price movers here are any ETH moves leading into the noon ET candle on June 8, especially if the market is already trading close to $1,700. Fast exchange-wide volatility, sudden crypto market swings, or large intraday moves in ETH/USDT on Binance can matter more than end-of-day sentiment because the resolution checks only one minute. The spread between the best bid and best ask, along with the market’s short-term drift in the final hours before resolution, can also matter if the contract is sitting near the cutoff.
The current market price implies roughly a 18% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+16.5%
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, the main thing to verify is the exact rule: Binance ETH/USDT, 1-minute candles, 12:00 ET, and the final Close price for that candle. Because the market depends on a single timestamp, readers should be careful about timezone confusion, candle timestamp interpretation, and whether the chart view is actually set to the correct pair and interval. If Binance changes its interface or if the candle data is hard to inspect, the source-of-truth remains the exchange’s ETH/USDT candle close at the specified time, not prices shown elsewhere.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 18%, $6.8K in 24h volume, and $14.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
18%
No
82%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 18%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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