crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$334.6K
Liquidity
$99.7K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, $3.3 in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
Probability
8%
24h Volume
$3.3
Liquidity
$6K
This market is asking whether Ethereum’s ETH/USDT price on Binance will finish above $1,800 at the specific noon ET 1-minute candle on June 12. Because the outcome is tied to one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact timestamp, the result can differ from broader headlines or prices seen elsewhere.
The question is narrow: will the Binance ETH/USDT candle for 12:00 ET on June 12 close above $1,800? The market resolves from Binance’s 1-minute candle data for ETH/USDT, using the candle close price at that exact minute, not an average price or a price from another exchange. The resolution date shown on the page is June 12, 2026, and the decision point is the noon ET candle on that date.
Ethereum is one of the most widely watched crypto assets, so even a modest threshold like $1,800 can matter to traders who track short-term momentum, volatility, and whether ETH is holding above a round-number level. The uncertainty here is not about Ethereum’s long-term value, but about where Binance’s spot price will be at one exact minute on a specific day. Readers may care because the market is pricing a concrete, time-bound disagreement over whether ETH can stay above that level at resolution.
The main drivers are the spot ETH market and any news that shifts short-term crypto sentiment before June 12, especially moves that affect Ethereum specifically or the broader market that ETH tends to follow. Since the market resolves on Binance’s ETH/USDT candle, order-book pressure on Binance itself can matter near the cutoff, particularly if price is hovering close to $1,800 around noon ET. A fast move in BTC, a sharp risk-on or risk-off swing, or a brief exchange-specific spike around the resolution minute could change the outcome even if the larger-day trend looks different.
The current market price implies roughly a 8% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4.8%
24h Vol
$334.6K
Liquidity
$99.7K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the exact resolution rule: Binance ETH/USDT, 1-minute candles, the 12:00 ET candle on June 12, and the candle’s final Close price. Because this is source-specific, readers should not rely on other exchanges, broader charting sites, or spot prices that do not match Binance’s candle data. The main ambiguity risk is timing, so it is worth checking the timezone, the minute of the candle, and whether the source shows the final close above or below $1,800 at resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 8%, $3.3 in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
7.5%
No
92.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 8%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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