crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$334.6K
Liquidity
$99.7K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.9K
This market asks whether Ethereum’s Binance ETH/USDT price will finish above $1,900 on June 12, using a very specific one-minute candle at noon ET. Because the resolution is tied to a single exchange, pair, and minute, the result can differ from broader Ethereum price headlines or prices seen elsewhere.
The question is not simply whether Ethereum is strong or weak on June 12, 2026; it is whether the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET that day closes above $1,900. The market resolves from Binance’s own ETH/USDT candlestick data, with the relevant “Close” price taken from the 1-minute chart on the exchange. That means the exact timestamp, trading pair, and exchange source all matter more than general market commentary.
Ethereum is a highly traded crypto asset, and a round-number threshold like $1,900 is often treated as a visible line that traders watch. But the price can vary across exchanges and even minute to minute, so there is genuine uncertainty about whether the Binance close at that exact moment will clear the threshold. The market is effectively pricing disagreement over one very precise snapshot, not a broad June 12 average or daily finish.
Any sharp move in ETH around the noon ET window on June 12 can change the outcome, especially if the market is sitting near the $1,900 level. News about Ethereum, broader crypto sentiment, large market swings, or exchange-specific trading activity on Binance could all matter if they affect the 1-minute close at 12:00 ET. Because the rule uses a single candle, even a brief spike or drop right around that minute can be decisive.
The current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4.8%
24h Vol
$334.6K
Liquidity
$99.7K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact resolution rule: Binance ETH/USDT, 1-minute candles, noon ET on the date in the title, and the final Close price for that candle. The key ambiguity risk is using another exchange, another trading pair, or a different time window, none of which count here. Before resolution, it is worth checking the Binance chart carefully and remembering that the market settles on the source-of-truth candle value, not on an average price or a later intraday move.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
3.6%
No
96.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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