crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$330.8K
Liquidity
$105K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.9K
This market asks whether Ethereum’s Binance ETH/USDT price will finish above $2,000 on June 12, using a specific one-minute candle at noon Eastern Time as the official reference. It is worth watching because the outcome depends on a very narrow snapshot of price on a single exchange, so even a small move around the threshold can decide it.
The question here is not Ethereum’s broader market value, but whether the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on June 12 closes above $2,000. If that candle’s final close is higher than $2,000, the market resolves to Yes; if it is at or below $2,000, it resolves to No. The deadline shown on the page is June 12, 2026, and the source of truth is explicitly Binance’s ETH/USDT candle data, not other exchanges or other trading pairs.
Ethereum is one of the largest crypto assets, so the $2,000 level is a familiar round-number threshold that traders often watch. Markets like this can be uncertain because the result hinges on a precise timestamp and a single exchange feed, which can differ from prices elsewhere in the crypto market. The disagreement being priced is about whether ETH will be trading comfortably above that line at exactly that moment, not about where it might trade before or after.
The main drivers are ordinary ETH price moves leading into June 12: sharp changes in crypto sentiment, large moves in Bitcoin, exchange-specific volatility, or major Ethereum-related news that affects spot demand. Because the rule uses a one-minute Binance candle, a brief spike or dip around noon ET can matter more than the broader day’s trend. If ETH is hovering near $2,000 as the deadline approaches, even modest order flow could determine the final candle close.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4.9%
24h Vol
$330.8K
Liquidity
$105K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact resolution rule: Binance ETH/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the 12:00 ET candle on the date in the title. The key ambiguity risk is using the wrong timestamp, the wrong exchange, or a different price series such as a last trade, mark price, or another venue’s quote. Before resolution, the most important thing to check is the candle’s final Binance close at that exact minute, since that is what decides Yes or No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, and $4.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
2.4%
No
97.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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