crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
56%
+16.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $54 in 24h volume, and $30.9K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$54
Liquidity
$30.9K
This market is asking whether Ethereum’s Binance ETH/USDT price will finish above $2,500 at a very specific moment on June 6. Because the cutoff is tied to a single one-minute candle on Binance, it is less about Ethereum’s broad trend and more about where the exchange price lands at noon ET on that date.
The event is about Ethereum, the native asset of the Ethereum network, and the question is whether Binance’s ETH/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET on June 6 will close above $2,500. The market does not use a daily average or a cross-exchange reference; it resolves only from the Binance chart’s listed 'Close' price for that exact minute. If that close is above the threshold, the market resolves 'Yes'; otherwise it resolves 'No'.
A round-number level like $2,500 matters because it is a clear threshold traders and observers can anchor to, but the answer can still hinge on a narrow slice of time. Ethereum’s price can move quickly around a fixed timestamp, especially when the market is reacting to broader crypto sentiment, exchange flows, or intraday volatility. The disagreement priced here is not about Ethereum’s long-term value so much as whether Binance’s price will be sitting above the cutoff at that exact minute.
Anything that pushes ETH/USDT up or down near the June 6 noon ET window can change the outcome, especially fast moves in the final minutes before resolution. That includes broad crypto market swings, sharp changes in Bitcoin sentiment, unusual exchange activity on Binance, or sudden volatility around macro headlines that spill into digital assets. Because the rule uses a single one-minute close, even a brief spike or dip at the wrong moment can decide the market.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+16.5%
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact resolution rule: Binance ETH/USDT, the 1-minute 'Candles' view, and the 12:00 ET candle on June 6. The key source of truth is the Binance close price for that minute, not prices from other exchanges, not spot prices elsewhere, and not a daily close. The main ambiguity to avoid is timezone confusion, so it is important to check that the candle time is noon in ET and that the relevant candle has fully closed before treating the outcome as settled.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $54 in 24h volume, and $30.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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