
--
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 42%, $4.9K in 24h volume, and $48.1K in liquidity.
Probability
42%
24h Volume
$4.9K
Liquidity
$48.1K
This market asks whether Extended’s token will be valued above $300 million on the day after it launches. The key issue is not just whether a token appears, but whether it becomes publicly transferable and actively tradable, because that is the market’s definition of a real launch.
The title refers to Extended, the app/account linked in the market data, and to the token’s Fully Diluted Valuation, or FDV. FDV here means the token price multiplied by the total token supply, and the question is whether that number is above $300 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. If Extended has not launched a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.
There is uncertainty both about whether Extended will launch a token at all and, if it does, how the market will price it immediately after launch. The $300 million threshold is the disagreement point: some traders may expect a smaller debut valuation, while others may think the token could clear that level once it is tradable and visible to the public.
The biggest price movers are straightforward: an announced token launch, a confirmed launch date, details about the token’s supply, or evidence that the token is actually live and transferable. Because resolution depends on FDV one day after launch, early trading conditions and the first reliable price source matter a lot, as do any disclosures that clarify total supply or launch timing.
The current market price implies roughly a 42% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.4K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketWatch for whether Extended announces a token and whether that token becomes publicly transferable and tradable, since that is the market’s launch test. The resolution uses the most liquid price source available and measures the token at 4:00 PM ET on the day after launch, so readers should pay attention to the exact launch date, the token’s total supply, and which venue or market is the deepest source of pricing. If those details are unclear, the main ambiguity is whether the market has truly launched and which price will be treated as authoritative.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 42%, $4.9K in 24h volume, and $48.1K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
41.5%
No
58.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 42%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$59.5K
Liquidity
$41.5K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market
-10.4%
24h Vol
$197.6K
Liquidity
$19.3K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View market
+0.1%
24h Vol
$280.4K
Liquidity
$1.9M
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market
+11.7%
24h Vol
$44.1K
Liquidity
$13K
Spread
4%
6/8/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$22.1K
Liquidity
$136.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market