
+16.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Ethiopia vs. Malawi: O/U 5.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $27.4 in 24h volume, and $1.2K in liquidity.
Probability
5%
24h Volume
$27.4
Liquidity
$1.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
4.6%
Change
-43.4%
High
52.5%
Low
3.1%
Over moved from 48% to 4.6% over the last day, trading between 3.1% and 52.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
48 points
This market asks whether Ethiopia and Malawi will combine for six or more goals in their FIFA International Friendly on June 6. A 5.5 goal line is very high for a full match, so this page is mainly about whether the game turns unusually open, high-scoring, or stays closer to a normal low-total football result. The listed prices show the market leaning strongly toward Under, which reflects how rare a six-goal game is in most international fixtures.
The title refers to Ethiopia vs. Malawi, an international men’s friendly scheduled for June 6 at 11:00 AM ET. The settlement line is simple: Over wins if the two teams score at least six total goals within regulation plus stoppage time, while Under wins if the total is five or fewer. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until it is played; if it is canceled with no makeup match, it resolves 50–50.
The uncertainty here is not who wins the match, but how open the game will be offensively. International friendlies can be unpredictable because coaches may rotate lineups, test tactics, or treat the match differently than a tournament fixture, which can change the scoring environment. Market participants are effectively weighing the chance of an outlier scoreline against the much more common outcome of a modest total.
Any information that suggests a more attacking or more defensive setup can move this market, especially confirmed lineups, injuries, or late roster changes before kickoff. Early goals usually matter a lot in a total this high, because a fast start can force the match into a more open shape and make six total goals more plausible. A late switch in venue, weather, or match conditions could also matter if it changes how freely either side can play.
The current market price implies roughly a 5% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+16.5%
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the official final score for the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, since that is what the rules use, not extra time or penalties. The primary source is the official match statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting used only if final stats are not published within two hours after the match ends. Readers should also watch for postponement or cancellation, because those outcomes change settlement even before any score is recorded.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Ethiopia vs. Malawi: O/U 5.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, $27.4 in 24h volume, and $1.2K in liquidity.
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Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Ethiopia and Malawi, scheduled for June 6 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Ethiopia and Malawi combine to score 6 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 5%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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