
-0.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?
24h Vol
$117.9K
Liquidity
$164.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $469.1K in 24h volume, and $139.9K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$469.1K
Liquidity
$139.9K
This market asks whether CME Gold futures will print an official settlement price at or above $8,000 on any trading day before the end of June 2026. It is a straightforward threshold question, but the answer depends on one specific CME reference price, not on intraday spikes or headlines about gold prices.
The contract is tied to CME Gold (GC) futures, and the key detail is that the market follows the Active Month, meaning the nearest eligible delivery-month contract that is not the spot month. For a Yes result, the official CME settlement price for that Active Month must be at or above $8,000 on a trading day through the final trading day of June 2026. Only the first-published official settlement for that day counts, and the resolution source is the CME settlement page.
Gold can move sharply around inflation data, central bank policy, risk sentiment, currency swings, and other macro shocks, so a very high price threshold like $8,000 leaves real uncertainty even if gold is already a well-known inflation hedge. The market is pricing a large disagreement about whether gold futures could ever reach that level by June 2026, especially given that the contract requires an official settlement rather than an intraday print.
The biggest price movers here are events that change expectations for rates, inflation, and safe-haven demand, because those are the channels that can push gold futures materially higher or lower. CME contract mechanics also matter: when the Active Month rolls, a different eligible GC contract becomes the reference, so readers should watch which delivery month is active as June 2026 approaches. Any sharp move in the official settlement price of that front month, especially near a major macro release or policy decision, could shift this market quickly.
Related markets

-0.1%
24h Vol
$117.9K
Liquidity
$164.2K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this resolves, check the official CME settlement page for GC futures and confirm which contract is the Active Month on each trading day, since the market does not use the spot month and ignores intraday prices. The deadline is the final trading day of June 2026, and weekends or holidays without a published settlement are excluded. Because the rules say the first published settlement for the day controls even if later corrected, the exact timestamped CME publication is the source to verify if there is any ambiguity.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $469.1K in 24h volume, and $139.9K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
0.1%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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