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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, $50.4K in 24h volume, and $10.4K in liquidity.
Probability
98%
24h Volume
$50.4K
Liquidity
$10.4K
This market asks whether GRVT’s governance token will be worth more than $50 million on a fully diluted basis one day after it launches. GRVT is the named project, so the key issue is not just whether a token appears, but whether it becomes actively transferable and tradable quickly enough to establish a real market price. The answer will depend on the token’s supply, its post-launch price, and the exact launch timing used by the market rules.
The title refers to GRVT’s governance token and measures its fully diluted valuation, or FDV, one day after launch. Under the market rules, launch only counts if the token is actively, publicly transferable and tradable, and the check happens at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. If GRVT does not launch a token by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No.
The uncertainty here is about both timing and early trading value. A token can launch with a small or large supply, and even if it becomes tradable, its price in the first day can move sharply as the market finds a level. Readers watching this market are mainly tracking whether GRVT’s debut clears the $50 million FDV threshold once the token is live and the supply is multiplied by the price.
The biggest price-moving event is the actual token launch, especially if GRVT announces the token supply, distribution, or transferability terms in a way that changes the implied FDV. Early exchange or venue access can matter too, because the rules call for the most liquid price source available, which means the price used for resolution should come from the deepest active market. Any delay in launch, restrictions on transferability, or a thin first-day market could also affect whether the token sits above or below the $50 million mark.
The current market price implies roughly a 98% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$51.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketTo follow this market, check whether GRVT has launched a token that is publicly transferable and tradable, since that is the trigger for the countdown. The important resolution details are the launch date, the 4:00 PM ET measurement point on the next calendar day, and the use of the most liquid price source available for pricing. Because FDV is calculated from total supply times token price, readers should verify both the stated supply and which market price source is being used if multiple venues exist.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, $50.4K in 24h volume, and $10.4K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
97.6%
No
2.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 98%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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