
+1.5%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
24h Vol
$618.3K
Liquidity
$72.4K
Spread
2%
6/30/2026
View marketWorld
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $5.4K in 24h volume, and $20.7K in liquidity.
Probability
24%
24h Volume
$5.4K
Liquidity
$20.7K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?. The market currently shows a live probability of 24%, $5.4K in 24h volume, and $20.7K in liquidity.
Track live world event prediction markets focused on geopolitics, international relations, global conflicts, diplomacy, and major worldwide developments.
Yes
23.5%
No
76.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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+1.5%
24h Vol
$618.3K
Liquidity
$72.4K
Spread
2%
6/30/2026
View marketProbability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 24%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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