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Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will anyone on either team land a Penta Kill in Game 4? A Penta Kill means one player takes out all five enemy champions in rapid succession, so it is one of the rarest high-skill, high-chaos moments in the game. Because the result depends on a single fight in a single game, it is worth watching closely even when the broader match looks straightforward.
The event is limited to Game 4 only, not the full series. If any player on either side records a Penta Kill during that game, the market resolves to Yes; if no one does, it resolves to No. The market uses official results from gol.gg as the primary source, and if final results are not posted there within two hours after the game ends, credible reporting or video evidence can be used instead.
Penta Kills are uncommon even in professional League of Legends, which makes this a narrow but genuinely uncertain outcome. A game can feature strong teamfighting, late-game carries, or repeated skirmishes and still never produce one, while a single extended ace or messy cleanup fight can flip the answer quickly. The market is pricing that tension between a rare highlight play and the many normal ways a game can end.
Anything that suggests a long, fight-heavy Game 4 can make a Penta Kill more plausible, especially if both teams draft champions that thrive in late-game teamfights or have multiple resets and clean-up tools. Roster changes, substitutions, or unusual team compositions can matter because they affect how coordinated fights unfold and whether one player can secure the final five eliminations. If the series situation makes Game 4 a must-win or a potentially decisive map, that can also change how aggressively teams play and how often teamfights break out.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check whether Game 4 is actually played, because a canceled match, a delayed match beyond seven days, a forfeit, or a series that ends before Game 4 would all resolve to 50-50 under the rules. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, and if the game ends early through surrender, the market depends on whether a Penta Kill happened before stoppage. The main source of truth is gol.gg, so the key thing to verify after the match is whether the official game log shows a Penta Kill in Game 4 and whether that result is final within the stated window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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