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Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will Game 4 feature at least one Quadra Kill by any player on either team? It is tied to a single map, not the full series, so the outcome depends entirely on what happens in that one game before the match ends or is otherwise resolved. The scheduled resolution window is June 8, 2026 at 02:00 UTC, unless the game is delayed or never played under the market’s rules.
A Quadra Kill in League of Legends means one player takes four enemy champions in rapid succession, and the market resolves Yes if that happens at any point during Game 4. A Penta Kill also qualifies, since it includes a Quadra Kill as part of the sequence. If Game 4 is canceled, delayed beyond seven days, never needed because the series ends earlier, or never played because of forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
This market is about a single in-game highlight that can hinge on team fights, champion selection, and how close the teams are in one map. Even in high-level play, Quadra Kills are not routine, because they require both the right fight and the right cleanup timing in a short burst. That makes the market interesting for readers watching whether the game produces a rare scoring moment rather than just who wins the series.
Anything that changes the shape of Game 4 can matter here, especially draft choices that encourage heavy team fighting, reset-heavy carries, or long late-game skirmishes. If the series is close, the teams may play more conservatively or more aggressively depending on roster style and map state, which can affect how often fights reach a Quadra Kill setup. A fast stomp, an early surrender, or a game that ends before repeated full-team fights would reduce the chance of the event happening, while a long, messy back-and-forth game would make it more plausible.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is whether Game 4 is actually played, since the market has explicit 50-50 rules for cancellations, delays, forfeits, or series results that make the game unnecessary. For resolution, the official source is gol.gg/esports/home, so readers should check the final Game 4 result there rather than relying on highlights alone. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, and if the match ends by surrender before completion, the market still resolves based on whether a Quadra Kill happened before play stopped.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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