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Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $105 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$105
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
99.5%
Change
+49.5%
High
99.5%
Low
40.5%
Team Liquid moved from 50% to 99.5% over the full available history, trading between 40.5% and 99.5%.
Team Liquid price history from Polymarket CLOB.
22 points
This market asks which side draws first blood in Game 1 of the LCS Playoffs lower bracket semifinal between FlyQuest and Team Liquid. Because it is tied to a single early-game event, the result can turn on one invade, lane skirmish, or gank rather than the final match score.
The title refers specifically to the first kill in Game 1 of FlyQuest vs. Team Liquid, scheduled for June 6 at 4:00 PM ET in the lower bracket semifinal. The market resolves to the team that secures that opening blood, not the team that wins the series or even Game 1 overall. If the match is not played, is delayed too long, or Game 1 never produces a first blood, the rules call for a 50-50 resolution instead.
First blood is one of the most timing-sensitive events in League of Legends, and it can be influenced by draft priorities, early jungle paths, lane pressure, and how cautious each team wants to be at level one. FlyQuest and Team Liquid are both established LCS names, so the matchup draws interest not just because of who advances, but because their styles can shape how aggressive the opening minutes look. The market is pricing disagreement about which team is more likely to force or give up the first early kill in a high-stakes playoff game.
Anything that changes expectations for the opening minutes can matter here: a draft that signals strong early engage, a lane matchup that invites level-one pressure, or a jungle pick that suggests an invade-heavy plan. Pre-match roster news, if any appears before lock, would also matter because a substitution or role change can affect early coordination. Since the market is only about Game 1 first blood, even a team viewed as stronger overall may not be favored if its likely Game 1 draft looks safer or slower.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key things to verify are the official start time, whether Game 1 is actually played, and whether the game reaches a normal conclusion or is remade. Resolution is based on official results from gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the match ends. The deadline shown on the page is June 7 at 2:00 AM UTC, and the main ambiguity risk is whether a cancellation, delay, remake, or incomplete game triggers the market’s 50-50 fallback rule.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $105 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
FlyQuest
0%
Team Liquid
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket semifinal match between FlyQuest and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 1 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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