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Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
44.5%
Change
-5.5%
High
53%
Low
42.5%
Over moved from 50% to 44.5% over the last month, trading between 42.5% and 53%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
21 points
This market asks a simple but very game-specific question: will Game 1 of the LCS Playoffs lower-bracket semifinal between FlyQuest and Team Liquid finish with at least 27 total kills? Because it is tied to a single map, the answer can swing on early skirmishes, teamfight-heavy drafts, or a slower macro game that stays low scoring.
The event is the opening game of FlyQuest vs. Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs lower bracket semifinal, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00 PM ET. The market resolves to Over if Game 1 has 27 or more combined kills across both teams; 26 or fewer kills resolves to Under. If the match is not played, is delayed too long, ends in a walkover, or Game 1 is never completed, the market goes to 50-50 under the stated rules.
A kill total like 26.5 is uncertain because one League of Legends game can end as a quiet objective-focused win or a chaotic brawl with repeated fights and shutdowns. FlyQuest and Team Liquid are both established LCS names, so readers care not just about who wins the series, but whether the first map is likely to be measured and controlled or explosive and action-heavy. The market is pricing that uncertainty in a single-number line.
Draft details matter most here: dive-heavy champions, strong engage supports, or early-game junglers can push a game toward the Over, while scaling or poke-oriented compositions can keep deaths down. A remake would matter because the market uses only the remade Game 1, and any schedule change, postponement, or no-contest outcome changes the resolution path entirely. Even without a series result, a fast snowball, repeated mid-game fights, or a long stalemate can quickly change how the kill total is expected to land.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore the market settles, verify that the match actually starts on the listed date and that Game 1 is completed normally, since forfeits, cancellations, delays beyond seven days, and unfinished games all trigger the special 50-50 rule. The official source for resolution is gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. If you are following live, the key thing to check is the final official kill count for Game 1, including whether any remake occurred, because that determines the outcome rather than the series score.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket semifinal match between FlyQuest and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 4:00PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 27 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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