
0%
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $100 in 24h volume, and $146.9 in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
$146.9
This market asks a narrow in-game question from a League of Legends match: will LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars each secure at least one elemental dragon in Game 1? It is worth watching because early dragon control often reflects lane pressure, objective setup, and how willing each team is to contest around the pit.
The event is Game 1 of a series involving LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars, two teams from the League of Legends esports scene. For this market to resolve Yes, both teams must claim at least one elemental dragon during that first game; if either side fails to take a dragon, the answer is No. Only elemental dragons count here, and Elder Dragon kills do not count toward the result.
This market captures uncertainty around how Game 1 will play out around neutral objectives. Some games are decided by one-sided map control, while others become extended fights where both teams trade dragon takes, so the outcome depends on draft, early skirmishes, and whether either team can contest the dragon pit successfully. The current pricing is tilted toward No, which suggests the market expects one team to be shut out on dragons or the game to end before both sides secure one.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 1 can matter here, especially draft choices that favor early priority, engage, or strong teamfighting around dragon timers. Roster substitutions, role swaps, or unusual picks can also shift expectations if they affect who controls the early river setup. Because the market is only about Game 1, the first few minutes, the pace of the lane phase, and whether either team is forced into defensive play are especially important.
The current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

0%
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketCheck that Game 1 is actually played and completed under the market rules, since cancellation, a delay beyond seven days, a forfeit, or a series that never needs Game 1 can all trigger a 50-50 resolution. The key source of truth is the official game result and in-game objective history for that map, not a later match summary. If the game ends early by surrender, the result depends on whether both teams had already slain at least one elemental dragon before play stopped.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $100 in 24h volume, and $146.9 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
10%
No
90%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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