esports
⚡ Tight
3%
0%
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $42.8K in 24h volume, and $86.9K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$42.8K
Liquidity
$86.9K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+62.5%
High
100%
Low
33%
Vivo Keyd Stars moved from 37.5% to 100% over the last month, trading between 33% and 100%.
Vivo Keyd Stars price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market asks a simple question with an important wrinkle: who wins Game 1 only, not the full match, in the Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 between LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars. Because the event sits in the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, the result matters as part of a playoff bracket rather than a one-off showmatch. The market is also sharply one-sided in its live setup, so any pre-game roster or scheduling change could matter more than usual.
The title refers to the League of Legends match LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars, specifically the first game of that series. The description says the match was initially scheduled for June 8 at 3:15 PM ET in the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, and resolution depends only on who wins Game 1. If Game 1 is played to completion, that winner is the market result; if Game 1 is never completed, or if the match is canceled or delayed beyond seven days without starting, the market resolves 50-50.
LoL markets like this are often shaped by team strength, draft priorities, and how each roster tends to start a series. Game 1 is especially uncertain because teams can come in with prepared opening drafts, surprise picks, or matchup-specific game plans that are different from their overall series strength. Here, the market is pricing a disagreement about whether LOS can take the opening game or whether Vivo Keyd Stars will control the start of the semifinal.
Anything that changes the expected Game 1 draft or lineup can move this market, especially confirmed roster substitutions, role swaps, or last-minute player availability issues. Since the market is only about the first game, map draft equivalents in LoL terms matter less than champion select, side selection, and how each team tends to execute early-game plans on the current patch. Delays, pauses, or a changed match schedule also matter because the market has explicit rules for cancellation, non-completion, and a seven-day delay cutoff.
Related markets
0%
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that Game 1 actually starts and finishes, because the market has a special 50-50 outcome if Game 1 is not completed. The resolution source is official information from gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence used only if final results are still missing two hours after the event ends. It is also worth checking whether the match date or start time changes, since a delay beyond seven days without play beginning would also trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $42.8K in 24h volume, and $86.9K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
LOS
0.1%
Vivo Keyd Stars
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars in the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 8 at 3:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win Game 1 against Vivo Keyd Stars. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win Game 1 against LOS. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$38.4K
Liquidity
$3.3K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market-4%
24h Vol
$10.9K
Liquidity
$16.1K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-1.2%
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
$13.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market+6%
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
$2.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market