
0%
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.4K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will anyone on either side secure a Quadra Kill in Game 2. It matters because a single explosive teamfight can decide whether this lands as a highlight-heavy map or a quieter one, and the answer depends only on what happens in that second game.
A Quadra Kill in League of Legends means one player gets four enemy champion kills in quick succession, and a Penta Kill also counts for this market. The outcome is based only on Game 2: if any player in that game gets a Quadra Kill, the market resolves Yes; if nobody does, it resolves No. If Game 2 is not played, is cancelled, is delayed beyond seven days, or never happens because the series ends early or is forfeited, the market resolves 50-50 instead.
This is a narrow in-game event with real uncertainty because Quadra Kills depend on draft, teamfights, snowballing, and whether one player is positioned to collect several kills in a single fight. Even in a single map, that can swing between a controlled, low-kill game and one where a carry runs away with a late fight, so there is room for disagreement about how likely the moment is to happen. The market is pricing that uncertainty specifically for Game 2, not for the series as a whole.
Anything that changes how chaotic Game 2 is likely to be can matter: aggressive drafts, scaling team compositions, early-game leads that force messy fights, or a game state where one damage dealer gets repeated kill opportunities. Because the market is tied to a single map, roster changes, substitutions, or a remake can also matter if they affect the pace or outcome of the game. A Penta Kill automatically satisfies the Quadra Kill condition here, so late-game carry scenarios are especially relevant.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

0%
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.4K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is whether Game 2 is actually played to completion and whether there is an official replay, remake, surrender, or other unusual ending. Resolution is tied to official results from gol.gg, so readers should check that source after the match and note the special 50-50 rules for cancellation, long delays, forfeits, or a series ending before Game 2 is needed. If the game ends abruptly, the important question is still whether a Quadra Kill happened before stoppage; if not, the market resolves No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$38.4K
Liquidity
$3.3K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-4%
24h Vol
$10.9K
Liquidity
$15.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-1.1%
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
$13.1K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
+6%
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
$2.9K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market