esports
⚡ Tight
3%
0%
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, and $150.4 in liquidity.
Probability
5%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$150.4
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question in Game 3 of LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars: will both teams kill Baron Nashor at least once? Because Baron is one of the most game-shaping objectives in LoL, this market is really about whether the game reaches a late enough, contested state for each side to secure it. The answer depends on the official Game 3 result record, not on highlights or commentary.
LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars are the two teams named in the market, and the outcome is limited to Game 3 of their series. Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 game time and then respawns every 6 minutes after it is killed, so the market only resolves "Yes" if each team is credited with at least one Baron takedown in that game. If Game 3 is never played, is canceled, is delayed beyond 7 days, or ends as a foregone conclusion before needing to be played, the market resolves 50-50 instead.
This market is narrow because Baron control is not guaranteed in every match, even for strong teams. Some games end through early snowballs, objective trades, or base pushes before both sides ever get the chance to take Baron, while other games become extended fights over late-game control. The market is pricing that uncertainty around whether this particular game reaches a back-and-forth stage where both LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars can each secure the objective at least once.
Anything that suggests a long, even, or comeback-heavy Game 3 can make "Yes" more plausible, since Baron usually only matters once teams are past the early game and able to contest major objectives. Drafts built around scaling, wave clear, or prolonged sieges can also point toward more Baron attempts, while one-sided teamfights or a fast closing composition can reduce the chance that both sides ever take it. If the series format means Game 3 is decisive and both teams are likely to play conservatively or aggressively to close out, that can also affect whether Baron gets taken by both sides.
Related markets
0%
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 5% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is whether Game 3 is actually played to completion, since remakes, forfeits, walkovers, cancellations, and matches decided before a third game is needed all have special 50-50 handling here. For final settlement, the market says the official source is gol.gg/esports/home, so readers should check the completed Game 3 record there rather than unofficial scoreboards. One ambiguity to watch for is surrender or other early stoppage: if the game ends before both teams have slain Baron, the rule says the market resolves No unless the condition was already met before the stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 5%, and $150.4 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
5%
No
95%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 5%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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