
0%
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, and $150.4 in liquidity.
Probability
95%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$150.4
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 3 between LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars: will both teams secure at least one elemental dragon before the game ends? Dragons matter because they are one of the main neutral objectives in LoL, and teams often have to choose between fighting for dragon control or spending resources elsewhere on the map.
The outcome is based only on Game 3 of the LOS vs. Vivo Keyd Stars series. It resolves to Yes if LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars each kill at least one elemental dragon during that game, and No if either side fails to take one. Only elemental dragons count here; Elder Dragon kills do not count, and if Game 3 never happens or is not completed under the market’s rules, the market can resolve to 50-50 instead.
There is uncertainty because dragon control depends on how the game develops: draft priorities, jungle pathing, lane pressure, and whether either team can force or avoid skirmishes around the dragon pit. In some games both teams trade early objectives, while in others one side snowballs so hard that the losing team never gets a clean dragon take. That makes this a narrower, game-state-driven question rather than a simple match winner market.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 3 can matter, especially a draft that encourages early fights, strong early-game junglers, or compositions built around objective control. If one team is favored to dominate lanes and stack dragons quickly, the market can lean toward both teams getting at least one dragon only if the weaker side still has a realistic chance to claim a later objective. A shorter, one-sided game lowers that chance, while a longer even game or a series of contested dragon fights raises it.
The current market price implies roughly a 95% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

0%
24h Vol
$60.4K
Liquidity
$4.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is whether Game 3 is actually played and completed, because the rules say canceled, delayed, forfeited, or unnecessary games can resolve to 50-50. For a normal finish, the source of truth is the official game result and in-game objective history: did LOS kill at least one elemental dragon, and did Vivo Keyd Stars do the same before the game ended? It also helps to watch for surrender or other early termination, since the market’s rules use the state of dragon kills before stoppage to decide the result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 95%, and $150.4 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
95%
No
5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 3. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 95%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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