Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, $4.4K in 24h volume, and $21.2K in liquidity.

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This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.