
--
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24h Vol
$538.8K
Liquidity
$260.3K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $84.6 in 24h volume, and $8.4K in liquidity.
Probability
11%
24h Volume
$84.6
Liquidity
$8.4K
This market asks whether CME Silver futures will finish June 2026 with an unusually high settlement level: over $85 on the month’s final trading day. Because it is tied to CME’s official settlement, not the day’s highs or last trade, the exact benchmark and the exchange calendar matter a lot here.
The event is based on the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures on the final trading day of June 2026, with a Yes outcome if that settlement is above $85 and No otherwise. The Active Month is the nearest eligible CME delivery month in the silver contract cycle, and the market only uses the settlement price that CME publishes for that day. The deadline on the page is June 30, 2026, at 17:30 UTC, but the practical resolution point is the CME settlement for the last June trading day that has an official published settlement.
Silver can move sharply when investors focus on inflation, industrial demand, the dollar, or broader risk sentiment, so a threshold as high as $85 creates a clear debate about whether the metal could sustain a major move by the end of June 2026. The market is pricing uncertainty around whether the Active Month SI contract can reach a level far above more typical trading ranges by that date. Traders are effectively disagreeing on how extreme the move would need to be and whether the official CME settlement could clear that line.
The market will move most on expectations for the CME Active Month settlement itself, especially if silver futures rally or sell off in the weeks leading into the end of June. Changes in rate expectations, the U.S. dollar, inflation data, industrial demand narratives, or broad commodity risk appetite could all affect whether the contract can approach $85. Because the rule keys off the Active Month, any change in which SI contract is designated active can also matter if it shifts attention to a different delivery month before resolution.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$538.8K
Liquidity
$260.3K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 11% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the CME Group settlement page for Silver (SI) and confirm which contract is the Active Month on the relevant June trading day, since the market does not use intraday prices or the last traded print. The resolution source is the first official CME settlement published for that day, and later corrections do not count under the rules provided here. It is also worth verifying the exchange calendar for which June days actually have official settlements, because weekends and holidays are excluded.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 11%, $84.6 in 24h volume, and $8.4K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
10.5%
No
89.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 11%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+12.3%
24h Vol
$167.1K
Liquidity
$177K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-1%
24h Vol
$78K
Liquidity
$54.9K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$33.2K
Liquidity
$125.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
-0.2%
24h Vol
$18.9K
Liquidity
$28.6K
Spread
1%
Live
View market
+0.9%
24h Vol
$27.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
6/30/2026
View market