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Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$44.2K
Liquidity
$201.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $240.2 in 24h volume, and $11.8K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$240.2
Liquidity
$11.8K
This market asks whether CME Silver futures will finish June 2026 with the Active Month settlement price in the $100 to $115 range. Silver futures are a closely watched benchmark for the metal, so this page is really about where CME’s official month-end pricing lands on the final trading day of June. The result depends on the exchange’s published settlement, not on intraday swings or headlines.
The specific reference point is the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures on June 30, 2026, or the last trading day of June if the session is shortened. CME defines the Active Month as the nearest designated delivery-cycle month — March, May, July, September, or December — that is not the spot month, and the contract rolls when that month becomes non-active. Only the published CME settlement for that Active Month counts, and if the settlement falls exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher range bracket is used.
There is uncertainty because silver can move sharply over a month, while the relevant CME settlement is a very specific official number that may not match the last traded price. Traders and observers may care because the outcome depends on both the metal’s price path and CME’s settlement methodology, which can differ from simple end-of-day market quotes. The market is therefore pricing disagreement about whether silver can finish June within that fairly high $100-$115 band.
The most direct drivers are changes in silver itself and anything that shifts expectations for where CME will print the Active Month settlement near month-end. Because the market is tied to a precise futures benchmark, price can move when the active contract rolls, when the exchange publishes the monthly settlement, or when June trading conditions leave the final official value near a bracket edge. The current spread is tight, which suggests small changes in expectations around the final settlement can matter.
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24h Vol
$44.2K
Liquidity
$201.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check which CME Silver contract is the Active Month on the final June trading day and whether CME publishes a settlement for a shortened session if the calendar is altered. The resolution uses only the official CME Group settlement price for that Active Month; trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, and indicative quotes do not count. If CME does not publish a settlement for the shortened session, the market falls back to the most recent published Active Month settlement from June, so that fallback rule is important to verify.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $240.2 in 24h volume, and $11.8K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
3.4%
No
96.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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