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Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$50K
Liquidity
$272.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 30%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $6.6K in liquidity.
Probability
30%
24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$6.6K
This market asks whether the official CME settlement price for the active Silver futures contract will finish June 2026 inside the $60 to $70 range. Silver futures are a closely watched benchmark because they reflect conditions in a major precious-metals market, not just spot trading. The exact outcome depends on CME’s published settlement on the last trading day of June, so the final resolution can hinge on the exchange’s official number rather than what silver was trading at intraday.
The event is tied to CME Silver (SI) futures, using the active month contract on the final trading day of June 2026. The market resolves to “Yes” if CME’s official settlement price for that active-month contract lands between $60 and $70, inclusive of the bracket rules in the market description. If the value sits exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the higher bracket wins, and only the published official settlement counts.
There is uncertainty because silver can move sharply on inflation expectations, U.S. dollar shifts, industrial demand, and broader risk sentiment, and futures pricing can diverge from the casual view of where the metal “looks” like it is trading. The market is effectively asking whether the CME settlement for the relevant June 2026 contract will be unusually high enough to reach a $60-plus range by month-end. Readers following it are usually watching whether the metal can sustain a major repricing rather than just a short-lived spike.
The most important drivers are developments that affect silver’s futures curve and the active-month settlement, especially big moves in precious-metals markets, central bank language, and changes in the dollar or rates outlook. Because the contract resolves on CME’s official settlement for the active month, roll timing matters too: the market tracks whichever delivery-cycle month is active at the end of June, not simply the nearest headline contract. Any sharp move late in the month can matter more than earlier intramonth trading if it changes the final official settlement.
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24h Vol
$50K
Liquidity
$272.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 30% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, check which CME Silver (SI) contract is the active month on the final trading day of June 2026 and whether CME publishes an official settlement for that session. The rule says shortened sessions still count if CME posts a settlement, and if no settlement is published for that day, the market falls back to the most recent published June settlement for the active month. The key source of truth is CME Group’s official settlement price; intraday highs, lows, last trades, or indicative prices do not determine the result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 30%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $6.6K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
29.6%
No
70.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 30%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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