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Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$43.8K
Liquidity
$194.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 32%, $564.4 in 24h volume, and $6.7K in liquidity.
Probability
32%
24h Volume
$564.4
Liquidity
$6.7K
This market is about where CME Silver futures finish for the Active Month on the final trading day of June 2026, and whether that official settlement lands in the $70 to $80 range. Silver is watched closely because its futures price can move sharply with inflation expectations, industrial demand, dollar moves, and broader risk sentiment. Because the contract uses CME’s published settlement, the exact official print matters more here than intraday trading action.
The event question is simple: will the CME official settlement price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures on June 30, 2026, fall between $70 and $80? The market is using CME’s own settlement for the Active Month, which is the nearest designated delivery-cycle month that is not the spot month, and only that official settlement counts. If the contract settles exactly on a bracket boundary, the higher range bracket is used, and if June ends with a shortened session or no new settlement is published, the rules fall back to the most recent June settlement for the Active Month.
There is real uncertainty because silver can reprice quickly, and the final monthly settlement can be influenced by macro news, commodities flows, and contract-specific pricing at the close. The market is effectively asking whether silver will be far enough above today’s typical levels to reach a very high settlement band by the end of June 2026. Readers following this page are really watching whether a rare price level is achieved on the specific CME benchmark the market uses.
The biggest price movers here are changes in silver itself and anything that reshapes the futures close for the Active Month: a sharp move in the U.S. dollar, a jump in inflation or interest-rate expectations, or a broad commodities rally. Because the resolution depends on CME’s official settlement, the final trading-day close and any contract-roll timing around the Active Month can matter a lot. A late-month spike, a reversal before the close, or a change in CME’s settlement publication on a shortened session could all swing the final outcome.
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24h Vol
$43.8K
Liquidity
$194.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 32% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before June 30, 2026, the most important thing to verify is the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of SI futures on the final trading day of June. Watch CME’s published settlement calendar, the Active Month designation, and whether June ends with a shortened session or any missing settlement publication, since the rules specify fallback handling in that case. The key ambiguity risk is not the intraday silver price but whether the final official CME print lands inside the $70-$80 bracket that this market uses for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 32%, $564.4 in 24h volume, and $6.7K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
32.4%
No
67.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 32%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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