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Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$43.8K
Liquidity
$194.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $678 in 24h volume, and $11.5K in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$678
Liquidity
$11.5K
This market asks whether the CME official settlement price for the active Silver futures contract will land between $80 and $90 on the final trading day of June 2026. It is a narrow price-band question tied to an exchange-settle, not to intraday silver quotes or headlines. Because the contract month rolls and CME settlement rules matter, the exact published settlement is what decides the outcome.
The asset here is CME Silver futures, identified by the SI contract, and the relevant measure is the official CME settlement price for the Active Month on the last trading day of June 2026. The active month is the nearest eligible delivery-cycle month under CME’s rules, and if that month changes during June, the market follows the current active contract rather than a fixed calendar month. The market resolves to “Yes” only if the official settlement lands in the $80 to $90 range, with exact boundary cases treated according to the market’s bracket rules.
Silver is a volatile precious metal, so even a month-end settlement can end up in a wide range depending on macro news, dollar moves, rates, industrial demand expectations, and positioning in futures markets. The $80-$90 band is especially specific, so the market is really pricing whether silver can reach and hold an unusually elevated level by the June 2026 settlement date. Readers should treat this as a question about one official CME print, not a guess about where silver trades at any other point in the month.
Anything that changes silver futures pricing near the end of June 2026 can affect this market, especially moves in the broader metals complex, U.S. interest rates, the dollar, or risk sentiment that feeds into precious metals. The most important event-specific driver is the CME settlement itself on the final trading day of June, since only that published figure counts for resolution. A contract rollover, a shortened trading session, or a month-end settlement that differs from the last trade can also matter because the market uses the exchange’s official number, not an intraday chart.
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24h Vol
$43.8K
Liquidity
$194.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, check which Silver futures month is the Active Month on the relevant June settlement date and verify the official CME settlement price for that contract. The market rules say only CME’s published settlement counts, and if the final trading day is shortened, the shortened-session settlement still applies; if no settlement is published for that session, the most recent June settlement for the Active Month is used instead. The key ambiguity to watch is whether the published settlement falls inside the $80-$90 bracket, and if it lands exactly on a bracket line, the higher range is used.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $678 in 24h volume, and $11.5K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
9.5%
No
90.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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