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Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
24h Vol
$44.2K
Liquidity
$201.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketFinance
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $186.7 in 24h volume, and $12.4K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$186.7
Liquidity
$12.4K
This market asks whether CME Silver futures will settle above $115 for the Active Month on the final trading day of June 2026. It is a clean price-threshold question tied to an official exchange settlement, so the key issue is not where silver trades intraday, but where CME ultimately publishes the final settlement for that month. The market is currently pricing a very large gap between the two outcomes, with trading heavily tilted toward No. That makes the exact CME settlement methodology and the June 2026 expiration calendar especially important for anyone following it.
The event is about the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures, also known as SI, on June 30, 2026, unless CME’s final trading day is shortened by a holiday schedule. For this market, the question is simply whether that published settlement will be greater than $115. CME defines the Active Month as the nearest designated delivery-cycle month that is not the spot month, using the contract months March, May, July, September, and December. Only the exchange’s official settlement price for that Active Month counts; intraday highs and lows, last trade, bids, offers, and indicative values do not.
Silver can move sharply when investors adjust expectations for inflation, industrial demand, monetary policy, or broader risk appetite, and futures prices can also be influenced by contract-specific mechanics around delivery months. A $115 threshold is unusually high, so the market is really asking whether an extreme move is plausible by the time CME publishes the June settlement. The disagreement here is less about silver’s general direction and more about whether the contract could ever reach a level far above the current market. That is why the Yes and No outcomes are so far apart: participants are weighing an exceptional price spike against the exchange’s official settlement process.
The biggest price mover for this market is the CME-published settlement for the Active Month silver contract on the relevant June trading day. If the exchange posts a shortened-session settlement, that value still governs; if no settlement is published for that session, the market falls back to the most recent June settlement for the Active Month. Any sharp move in silver futures ahead of the June expiration window could matter, especially if it changes the Active Month contract that CME uses for resolution. Because the market depends on an official settlement rather than a daily close from elsewhere, even a late-month shift in the active contract or a shortened trading session could be decisive.
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24h Vol
$44.2K
Liquidity
$201.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, check which contract CME identifies as the Active Month in late June 2026 and whether June 30 is a normal or shortened session. The source of truth is the official CME Group settlement price for that Active Month, not a news headline, broker quote, or intraday chart. One important rule nuance is that if the reported value lands exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket. Readers should also verify whether CME published a settlement for the final session; if not, the market uses the most recent published Active Month settlement from June, which can change how the event is resolved.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $186.7 in 24h volume, and $12.4K in liquidity.
Track live finance prediction markets focused on interest rates, inflation, stock market events, central bank decisions, and global financial forecasting trends.
Yes
1.9%
No
98.2%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June. For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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