Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $22.6K in 24h volume, and $39.5K in liquidity.

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This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.