Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?. The market currently shows a live probability of 72%, $2.3K in 24h volume, and $2.2K in liquidity.

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This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.