economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketPolitics
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $2.6K in 24h volume, and $387K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$387K
This market asks whether Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear will become the Democratic Party’s nominee for president in 2028. It is a long-horizon politics market, so the main things to watch are early endorsements, party rules, and whether Beshear emerges as a serious contender before the convention period.
The question is simple: will Andy Beshear win and accept the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president? Beshear is a named political figure with statewide executive experience, and the market resolves only if he is the official Democratic nominee under the rules cited on the page. The end date shown is November 7, 2028, but the resolution language matters more than the calendar because the market is tied to the party’s formal nomination outcome.
A nomination market like this reflects uncertainty about who will consolidate support inside the Democratic Party over the next presidential cycle. Beshear is not the only possible contender, so readers are really tracking whether he builds enough backing from elected officials, donors, activists, and delegates to win the party’s formal process. The market can stay open for years because presidential nomination paths often change as the field develops.
The price can move if Beshear takes visible steps toward a national campaign, such as entering the race, building a fundraising operation, or winning influential endorsements. It can also move if other Democrats gain momentum, if party leaders start signaling around a different standard-bearer, or if Beshear’s own role in Kentucky changes his national prospects. Because this is about the nomination itself, any official development at the convention or from party authorities would matter more than general speculation.
The current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe key source of truth is the consensus of official Democratic Party sources, so readers should check the party’s formal nomination process, convention results, and any official acceptance of the nomination. One important rule here is that a replacement nominee before Election Day does not change the market outcome, so the named person must actually win and accept the nomination under the stated criteria. If the party changes procedures, delays its convention, or uses an unusual replacement process, the exact resolution wording will be especially important.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $2.6K in 24h volume, and $387K in liquidity.
Track political prediction markets, election probabilities, and real-time political forecasting trends across major global events and government decisions.
Yes
3.1%
No
97%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Nov 7, 2028. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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