Will anyone say "Trump" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will anyone say "Trump" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?. The market currently shows a live probability of 27%, $238.4 in 24h volume, and $32.6 in liquidity.

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This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 4, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the English live broadcast of the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, scheduled for July 4, 2026, with coverage beginning at approximately 10:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the events of the entire official live broadcast, beginning from the start of the pre-show/early coverage and continuing uninterrupted through the conclusion of the men's competition, including the women's competition and any eat-off or tiebreaker, if applicable. All remarks made live at any point during the broadcast, including pre-contest, between-contest, and post-contest commentary, will be considered, up until the broadcast ends. If the contest is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this contest is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official English live broadcast of the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest on ESPN platforms and ABC. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf