
+2%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
24h Vol
$758.7K
Liquidity
$367.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketWorld
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?. The market currently shows a live probability of 43%, $590.1 in 24h volume, and $5.3K in liquidity.
Probability
43%
24h Volume
$590.1
Liquidity
$5.3K
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?. The market currently shows a live probability of 43%, $590.1 in 24h volume, and $5.3K in liquidity.
Track live world event prediction markets focused on geopolitics, international relations, global conflicts, diplomacy, and major worldwide developments.
Yes
43%
No
57%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Related markets

+2%
24h Vol
$758.7K
Liquidity
$367.8K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View marketProbability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 43%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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